Abstract
Background: Liver fibrosis (LF) is a serious complication of chronic liver disease that may progress to cirrhosis and liver cancer, posing a daunting threat to human health. Cardiometabolic Index (CMI) is closely associated with metabolic disorders related to obesity, which may be implicated in the pathological process of liver disease by inducing oxidative stress. However, previous observational studies have reached inconsistent conclusions on the association between CMI and hepatic fibrosis. This study aimed to assess the association of CMI and LF with oxidative stress by utilizing a population-based study.
Methods: A total of 3170 participants from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2017-2020) were included. A weighted logistics regression model was generated to analyze the correlation between CMI and LF, followed by the construction of the restricted cubic spline (RCS) model to explore the potential nonlinear relationship between the 2. In addition, the potential mediating role of oxidative stress factors (serum albumin, uric acid, γ-glutamyl transferase [GGT]) in the association of CMI with hepatic fibrosis was further investigated by regression analysis.
Results: With confounding factors adjusted, CMI was found to be associated with an increased risk of LF (odds ratio [OR] = 2.27, P < .001, 95% CI: 1.60-3.23). The stratification results showed that compared with the first quartile range, the LF risk of the second and third quartile ranges increased by 3.08 times (OR = 3.08, P < .001, 95% CI: 1.90-4.98) and 6.43 times (OR = 6.43, P < .001, 95% CI: 3.84-10.75), respectively. Further RCS analysis suggested that this association had nonlinear characteristics (P-nonlinear < .0001). Mediation analysis demonstrated that the intermediate proportions of serum albumin, uric acid, and GGT in the impact of CMI on LF were approximately 8.04%, 8.15%, and 5.60%, respectively.
Conclusion: This study demonstrated a significant positive linkage between CMI and LF, highlighting the mediating role of oxidative stress factors (serum albumin, uric acid, and GGT) in this linkage.
Highlights
- There is a positive correlation between Cardiometabolic Index (CMI) and liver fibrosis (LF).
- Oxidative stress factors (serum albumin, uric acid, and γ-glutamyl transferase [GGT]) play a mediating role in this process.
- This project uncovered a significant positive linkage between CMI and LF, highlighting the mediating role of oxidative stress factors (serum albumin, uric acid, and GGT) in this linkage.
Introduction
Liver fibrosis (LF) is fibrous scarring induced by the accumulation of extracellular matrix proteins (mainly type 1 and type 3 cross-linked collagen).
With the prevalence of obesity, MASLD has developed into one of the most common global causes of chronic liver disease in the world.
The Cardiometabolic Index (CMI), as an integrated indicator, is calculated by multiplying the waist-to-height ratio (WHtR, reflecting central obesity) and the triglyceride/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (TG/HDL-C, reflecting lipid metabolism). It combines simplicity and multidimensional evaluation advantages.
Oxidative stress is one of the key mechanisms driving liver injury and inducing LF. Ethanol intake, chronic viral infection, and iron deposition can exacerbate the production of reactive oxygen species (ROS),
Therefore, this study conducted a cross-sectional study using NHANES data to investigate whether the association between CMI and LF is independent of traditional metabolic indicators. In addition, considering the crucial role of oxidative stress in the progression of liver disease, this study also investigated whether oxidative stress factors (serum albumin, uric acid, and GGT) play a mediating role in the relationship between CMI and LF. This study can provide new evidence for the clinical application of CMI in risk stratification of LF, but it does not reveal the potential mechanism of the metabolic oxidative stress axis in LF.
Methods
Study Population
The data in this work came from the NHANES (
Dependent Variable: Liver Fibrosis
By using the FibroScan 502 V2 Touch system, NHANES staff performed liver stiffness measurement (LSM) on subjects using vibration-controlled transient elastography technology. This study used LSM ≥ 8.2 kPa as the criterion for determining LF based on the study of Eddowes et al.
Independent Variable: Cardiometabolic Index
CMI = WHtR × [TG (mmol/L)/HDL-C (mmol/L)], where WHtR = waist circumference (cm)/height (cm).11 Waist circumference and height data were obtained through physical examination. Triglycerides and HDL-C levels were detected by a Roche/Hitachi Cobas 6000 chemical analyzer.
Mediating Variables: Oxidative Stress Factors
Serum albumin, uric acid, and GGT were selected as the oxidative stress factors for mediation analysis in this project. In NHANES, serum albumin was obtained by the bromocresol purple staining method, and uric acid and GGT were determined by Roche Cobas 6000 (c501 module) chemistry analyzer.
Covariates
The covariates in this work included sex, race, age, BMI, serum albumin, smoking status, alcohol consumption, uric acid, blood bilirubin, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), aspartate transaminase (AST), GGT, history of liver disease, hepatic steatosis, MASLD, hepatitis C virus (HCV), total cholesterol (TC), TGs, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), non-HDL-C, total sugar intake, and total energy intake. Non-HDL-C was calculated by subtracting HDL-C levels from TC.34 Body mass index was calculated when body weight (kg) was divided by the square of height (m) and analyzed by the following categories: underweight/healthy weight (BMI < 25 kg/m2) and overweight or obese (BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2).35 Smoking status was determined based on the concentration of serum cotinine, with a concentration ≥10 ng/mL indicating smokers and a concentration <10 ng/mL indicating non-smokers.
The measurement or questionnaire for all variables can be queried on the NHANES website (
Statistical Analysis
All analyses were processed using R (V4.3.3) software. The baseline table was plotted by utilizing the tableonepackage. The categorical variables are expressed as sample size and proportion [n (%)], and the continuous variables are expressed as mean and SD. A weighted logistics regression model was constructed using the survey package to analyze the association of CMI and its tertiles with hepatic fibrosis and to disclose its relevance in different populations through further subgroup analyses. The selection of confounding variables in this study was based on a theoretical framework supported by previous literature and the interrelationships between variables. Variance inflation factor was used to evaluate multicollinearity. To control for confounding factors that may affect the results, models were established to gradually evaluate confounding effects: in the Crude model, no adjustment for confounding factors was made. In Model 1, adjustments were made for age, sex, and race. In Model 2, age, sex, race, BMI, smoking, drinking, total bilirubin, ALT, BUN, AST, non-HDL-C, total sugar intake, and total energy intake were adjusted. A restricted cubic spline (RCS) was constructed using the rms package in a regression model after adjusting for all confounders to dissect the nonlinear relationship between CMI and hepatic fibrosis. In addition, regression analysis was employed to dig out the potential mediating role of serum albumin, uric acid, and GGT in the association of CMI with hepatic fibrosis. Mediation analysis was performed by utilizing the mediation package. Thousand non-parametric iterations were employed to estimate the 95% CI of the mediation effect and evaluate the stability of the results. Different researchers have used weighted or unweighted methods when analyzing data. Although the complex sampling of NHANES can enhance the representativeness and applicability of research results, in some cases, weighted and unweighted analyses may yield different conclusions. Therefore, this study conducted non-weighted regression analysis as a sensitivity analysis to verify the robustness of the results of this study.
Results
Baseline Characteristics
A total of 3170 subjects were enrolled in this project, with an average age of 46.88 ± 17.33 years. Grouping was based on whether LF was present. The group with LF had a higher average age (52.59 vs. 46.33,
Association Between Cardiometabolic Index and Liver Fibrosis
Further subgroup analysis identified the association between CMI and LF in different subgroups (
Nonlinear Relationship Between Cardiometabolic Index and Liver Fibrosis
After adjusting for all confounding factors, the nonlinear relationship between CMI and LF was explored using the RCS in a weighted logistic regression model. The results revealed that the overall trend between CMI and LF was significant (
Mediation Analysis
In the mediation analysis, the potential mediating roles of oxidative stress factors (serum albumin, uric acid, and GGT) in the association between CMI and LF were assessed. The results demonstrated that in the overall effect of CMI on LF, about 8.04% (95% CI: 3.61, 14.00) of the effect was attributed to the mediation of serum albumin (
Further analysis was conducted on the potential mediating roles of oxidative stress factors such as serum albumin, uric acid, and GGT in the association between CMI and LF in sex subgroups. The results showed that in males, GGT accounted for approximately 4.65% (95% CI: 0.03, 11.00) of the mediating proportion in the process of CMI affecting LF. In females, approximately 9.18% (95% CI: 1.96, 19.00) of the total effect of CMI on LF was attributed to the mediating role of serum albumin. Uric acid and GGT accounted for 13.55% (95% CI: 2.53, 27.00) and 5.21% (95% CI: 0.78, 10.00) of the mediating proportion in the process of CMI affecting LF, respectively (
Sensitivity Analysis
Sensitivity analysis of non-weighted logistic analysis showed that in Model 2, the risk of LF increased by 2.95 (OR = 2.95,
Discussion
Based on the data from the NHANES, this investigation probed into the association between CMI and LF as well as the mediating role of oxidative stress factors (serum albumin, uric acid, GGT) in this association. The results indicated that CMI was associated with an increased risk of LF. Furthermore, the mediation analysis further revealed that serum albumin, uric acid, and GGT played mediating roles in the association between CMI and LF, with mediation proportions of 8.04%, 8.15%, and 5.60%, respectively.
Since its introduction in 2015, CMI has become a novel anthropometric measure for assessing an individual’s metabolic health. CMI was originally used for the recognition of diabetes. A study has confirmed its significant association with hyperglycemia,
In addition, this study also included non-HDL-C, a key lipid indicator, in the analysis. Numerous studies have shown that non-HDL-C is not only closely associated with cardiovascular metabolic abnormalities but also with the occurrence and progression of hepatic steatosis and fibrosis.
There is a positive linkage between CMI and LF, especially in overweight or obese individuals, alcohol drinkers, and people with a history of liver steatosis. Obesity is a key risk factor for the progression of MASLD to LF.45 Obesity may develop insulin resistance by activating pro-inflammatory M1-type macrophages in adipose tissue and releasing pro-inflammatory cytokines such as interleukin-6 (IL-6) and tumor necrosis factor-α.
The mediation analysis highlighted the mediating roles of oxidative stress factors, serum albumin, uric acid, and GGT in the association between CMI and LF. Serum albumin acts as an essential antioxidant in the human body.
It is worth noting that interesting differences in sex stratification analysis were observed. In females, the mediating ratio of serum albumin and uric acid is higher than that in males, while the mediating effect of GGT exists in both males and females, but in a lower proportion. The sex dimorphism of this association strength suggests potential biological mechanism differences. Estrogen has been found to exhibit potential protective effects in preventing or delaying the progression of LF. Estrogen can alleviate liver lipid deposition,
This study confirmed that CMI, as a simple tool based on conventional metabolic indicators such as WHtR and TG/HDL-C, can integrate the dual risks of metabolic abnormalities and oxidative stress, providing a new strategy for early screening of LF. By combining oxidative stress markers such as serum albumin, uric acid, and GGT, CMI can not only identify high-risk populations (such as obesity and metabolic syndrome patients) but also suggest potential oxidative damage mechanisms, thereby optimizing primary stratified management. For example, prioritizing FIB-4 scores or imaging examinations for individuals with elevated CMI can achieve efficient resource allocation. In addition, this study revealed for the first time at the population level the specific pathway through which CMI mediates LF through oxidative stress (mediation ratio ranging from 5.60% to 8.15%), providing direct evidence for the pathological mechanism of the “metabolism-oxidative stress-fibrosis” axis. This discovery suggests that combined interventions targeting metabolic and oxidative pathways, such as lipid-lowering therapy combined with antioxidants, may be an effective strategy for delaying fibrosis progression. Future research needs to further validate the universality of CMI in non-obese MASLD, different ethnic and regional populations, or verify the predictive value of CMI dynamic changes on intervention effectiveness through longitudinal cohort studies.
It should be pointed out that although this study focuses on the mediating role of oxidative stress, the influence of other unmeasured mediating pathways cannot be ruled out. Chronic low-grade inflammatory response remains an important biological mechanism between metabolic disorders and LF, and this study did not include inflammatory biomarkers such as C-reactive protein (CRP) and IL-6 for evaluation. In addition, dietary structure and physical activity level can independently affect metabolic status, liver lipid deposition, and fibrosis risk. These unmeasured behaviors or inflammation-related factors may interact with the oxidative stress pathway, thereby participating in or amplifying the association between CMI and LF to some extent. Future research needs to combine more comprehensive inflammatory biomarkers, dietary survey data, and physical activity data, and further use multi-omics methods to systematically analyze the interactions of different pathways in order to more accurately characterize the complex mechanism network of CMI acting on LF.
Although this investigation provides evidence of a positive association between oxidative stress-mediated CMI and hepatic fibrosis, certain limitations persist. Firstly, this study is a cross-sectional study that limits causal inference. The time sequence of exposure mediation outcome cannot be determined, and mediation effects may be influenced by reverse causality and residual confounding. The observed mediation effects should be considered as preliminary evidence, and their robustness needs to be further validated through longitudinal cohorts or intervention studies. Secondly, the extrapolation of research needs to be carefully evaluated. The NHANES data are mainly based on the American population, whose racial structure, dietary habits, and prevalence of liver disease differ from regions such as Asia, the Middle East, and Europe. Therefore, the applicability of the research results to other populations is limited. Thirdly, confounding factors cannot be completely ruled out. Although this study controlled for bias through complex sampling weighting and statistical analysis, this cross-sectional study may still contain unknown or unmeasured confounding factors that affect the observed associations. Finally, the sample for this study was from the general population, and the incidence of LF (especially advanced fibrosis) is relatively low, which may have an impact on the positive predictive value of imaging tools such as FibroScan. However, through stratified analysis and a tiered screening strategy, the limitations of low prevalence rates were partially alleviated. In the future, it is necessary to verify the synergistic application value of CMI and imaging tools in higher-risk populations (such as MASLD outpatient patients) and develop composite models to optimize diagnostic efficiency. Taken together, these findings revealed a positive correlation between CMI and LF and highlighted the key role of oxidative stress factors in it. These findings can proffer a new perspective on the complex relationship between CMI and liver diseases, offering scientific evidence for the prevention and clinical management of LF in the future.
Conclusion
Based on the NHANES data, this work systematically revealed a significant positive correlation between CMI and LF and emphasized the mediating role of oxidative stress factors (serum albumin, uric acid, and GGT) in this association. These findings not only deepen the interpretation of the relationship between metabolic abnormalities and LF but also provide a scientific basis for the early prevention of LF. Future studies should further validate these findings in different populations to provide stronger evidence and guidance for the prevention and clinical management of LF.
Footnotes
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