Abstract
Background: Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is increasingly recognized as a systemic inflammatory and metabolic disorder. Diuretic resistance remains a major therapeutic challenge in this population. The neutrophil percentage-to-albumin ratio (NPAR), a novel marker of systemic inflammation, may serve as a predictor of diuretic resistance and adverse outcomes in HFpEF.
Methods: This retrospective cohort study included 1 487 HFpEF patients treated between January 2017 and August 2022. Patients were divided into 2 groups: those with and without diuretic resistance. Clinical, laboratory, and echocardiographic parameters were compared between groups. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, logistic regression, and Kaplan–Meier survival analyses were used to determine predictive and prognostic factors.
Results: Patients with diuretic resistance exhibited significantly higher NPAR values, H2FPEF scores, NT-proBNP levels, and echocardiographic indices of diastolic dysfunction. ROC analysis identified an NPAR cut-off of 13.98 for predicting diuretic resistance (AUC = 0.892, 95% CI: 0.741-0.993, P < .01). Multiple Cox’s proportional hazard regression analysis revealed that NPAR, hs-C-reactive protein, sodium, NT-proBNP, left atrial volume index, and E/e′ were independent predictors of diuretic resistance. Kaplan–Meier analysis demonstrated increased mid-term mortality in patients with NPAR > 13.98 (log-rank P < .001). Elevated NPAR independently predicted mortality in the diuretic-resistant HFpEF subgroup (OR = 1.95, 95% CI: 1.80-2.22, P < .001).
Conclusion: NPAR is a simple and accessible inflammatory biomarker that independently predicts diuretic resistance and mortality in HFpEF. The findings underscore the role of systemic inflammation in HFpEF pathophysiology and highlight NPAR as a potential tool for early risk stratification and therapeutic decision-making.
Highlights
- The neutrophil percentage-to-albumin ratio (NPAR) was significantly higher in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) patients with diuretic resistance, indicating a strong link between systemic inflammation and poor diuretic response.
- The NPAR ≥13.98 predicted diuretic resistance with 86% sensitivity and 85% specificity (AUC = 0.892, < .01), demonstrating its potential as a reliable clinical marker.
- Elevated NPAR levels were independently associated with increased all-cause mortality in HFpEF, even after adjustment for NT-proBNP, hs-CRP, and echocardiographic parameters.
- Multiple Cox’s proportional hazard regression analysis confirmed that NPAR remained an independent predictor of mid-term mortality (HR = 1.62, < .001, 95% CI = 1.31-1.94).
- The NPAR may serve as a simple, inexpensive, and accessible biomarker for identifying high-risk HFpEF patients and guiding early management strategies.
Introduction
Heart failure (HF) is a common clinical syndrome with rising prevalence, particularly in older adults.
Congestion is the leading cause of hospitalization in acute decompensated HF, and diuretics remain the cornerstone of symptomatic relief.
Beyond hemodynamic impairment, HFpEF is increasingly viewed as a systemic inflammatory state in which comorbidity-driven microvascular endothelial inflammation contributes to myocardial dysfunction and progression of symptoms. In line with this concept, readily available hemogram-derived inflammatory indices—such as neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio—have been proposed as practical markers of subclinical inflammation and have shown prognostic value in HF.
More recently, the neutrophil percentage-to-albumin ratio (NPAR) has emerged as a simple composite biomarker integrating an inflammatory component and a negative acute-phase reactant and has been associated with adverse outcomes across cardiovascular conditions.
Methods
A total of 1 927 HFpEF patients receiving regular HF maintenance treatment in the cardiology department of the local cardiology hospital between January 2017 and August 2022 were included in the study. A total of 440 patients were excluded from the study due to missing data (Flowchart, Supplementary Material). This was a single-center retrospective cohort study conducted in the cardiology department of a tertiary referral cardiology hospital. The study complies with the principles outlined in the Declaration of Helsinki. No funding was received for the study from any institution or organization. The study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the local university hospital (25-MOBAEK-144, Date: 22.04.2025). The study did not receive financial support (no funding) from any institution or organization. Artificial intelligence–supported technologies [such as Large Language Models (LLM), chatbots, or image generators] were not used in the production of the study.
Patients were included in the study by searching the local hospital system database. Data were determined from institutional electronic health records, including laboratory results (serum sodium, creatinine/estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), spot urine sodium), medication administration records (loop diuretic dose increases, metolazone use, IV inotropes), and inpatient clinical documentation. For each potentially eligible case, the diagnosis of HFpEF was confirmed by reviewing echocardiography reports and relevant clinical data. Patients with missing baseline variables were excluded as shown in the study flowchart. The inclusion period corresponded to the entire database search interval (January 2017-August 2022). The authors included consecutive adult patients hospitalized for worsening HF (index hospitalization) who met diagnostic criteria for HFpEF (LVEF ≥50%) according to contemporary ESC (3). Outpatient clinic visits were not used as an index event; outpatient data were considered only for baseline history and for routine post-discharge follow-up documentation when available. Patients with HFpEF were classified into diuretic-resistant and non–diuretic-resistant groups based on predefined criteria, and all-cause mortality was assessed retrospectively from existing records. Diuretic resistance was defined as the presence of one or more (≥1) of the following during the index hospitalization: hyponatremia, requirement to increase the daily furosemide-equivalent dose to >160 mg/day and/or add metolazone, spot urine sodium <50 to 70 mmol/L measured after diuretic administration (when available), worsening renal function (creatinine increase ≥0.3 mg/dL within 48-72 h or ≥25% from baseline), and need for IV inotropic therapy.
Acute infection or sepsis, pulmonary embolism, severe valve disease (moderate mitral stenosis and all other severe valve diseases and prosthetic valve disease), malignancy, coagulation disorder, patients under 18 years of age, acute or chronic stroke, storage diseases (glycogen, lipid, lysosomal, etc.), acute kidney disease, mechanical valve, end-stage renal disease, severe anemia, patients with recent acute coronary syndrome (first 6 months) were excluded from the study.
Laboratory and Demographic Examination
All blood samples were obtained from peripheral venous blood after patients were hospitalized with worsening HF. Lipid panel, fasting plasma glucose, creatine kinase myocardial band (CK-MB), troponin-I, NT-proBNP (ng/mL), hs-C-reactive protein (CRP), and other routine parameters were obtained from the blood samples. Complete blood count (CBC) was evaluated with an automatic blood cell counter (Coulter LH 780 Hematology Analyzer, Beckman Coulter Corp, Hileh, Florida, USA). Patients with fasting plasma glucose level >125 mg/dL, HbA1c level >6.5%, or using antidiabetic drugs (oral/insulin) were considered as diabetes mellitus (DM) patients. Patients with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) level above 100 mg/dL or using antilipidemic drugs were considered as hyperlipidemia (HL) patients. Use of antihypertensive drugs or systolic and diastolic blood pressures above 140-90 mm Hg were considered as hypertension (HT). Patients who had smoked for the last 6 months were considered as smokers.
Echocardiographic Evaluation
Echocardiographic evaluations were performed in the ECHO unit of the center with the Vivid S5 ECHO device (General Electric, Milwaukee, WI, USA) using a 2.5-3.5 MHz transducer in the left decubitus position for all participants. All Doppler ECHO and Tissue Doppler Imaging (TDI) ECHO measurements were performed during normal breathing. Data obtained with 2-dimensional, color Doppler, continuous wave (CW)/pulsed wave (PW) Doppler ECHO were examined and recorded by 3 experienced echocardiographers who were unaware of the participants. The left ventricular ejection fractions (LVEF) of all participants were calculated using the modified Simpson’s method.
From the parasternal long axis view; left atrium (LA), left ventricular end diastolic diameter (LVDD), left ventricular end systolic diameter (LVSD), left ventricular posterior wall thickness (LVPWT), interventricular septum in diastole (IVSD) measurements were performed. LA volume was measured by planimetrically drawing the left atrium borders from standard apical 2- and 4-chamber views at the end of systole. Left atrium (LA) volume was divided by body surface area to obtain left atrial volume index (LAVI). Estimated systolic pulmonary artery pressure (sPAP) was calculated based on the tricuspid regurgitation pressure gradient calculated from the peak tricuspid regurgitation flow velocity using the Bernoulli equation. Transmitral early diastolic flow velocity (E) was measured in the apical 4-chamber view by pulsed-wave Doppler with the sample volume placed at the tips of the mitral leaflets. Early diastolic mitral annular velocity (e´) was assessed using TDI in the apical 4-chamber view, positioning the sample volume at the septal or lateral mitral annulus. The E/e´ ratio was calculated as an estimate of left ventricular filling pressure.
Follow-Up
Patients were followed for a mean duration of 8.3 ± 2.1 months. Two investigators abstracted baseline characteristics and in-hospital endpoints from electronic records using a standardized data collection form. Follow-up duration was calculated from the date of index admission/discharge. Post-discharge information at approximately 1, 3, 6, and 12 months was ascertained retrospectively from documentation available in the electronic medical record, including routine outpatient clinic visits and telephone contacts performed as part of standard clinical care. Mortality status and dates were obtained from institutional records (and linked registries when available). No study-driven follow-up contact was performed. All clinical endpoints were independently adjudicated in a blinded manner by 2 members of the event adjudication committee.
Statistical Analysis
The data obtained from the study were evaluated with SPSS 25.0 (SPSS, Inc., Chicago, IL, USA) program. For statistical significance,
Results
During the study period (January 2017-August 2022), 1 927 HFpEF patients were screened. After excluding 440 patients due to missing data, 1 487 patients constituted the final study cohort. Among these, 248 patients met the definition of diuretic resistance, whereas 1 239 did not. Basic demographic, clinical, and laboratory characteristics, echocardiographic results, and medications used by the patients included in the study are detailed in
In ROC analysis, the cut-off value of NPAR score for diuretic resistance in HFpEF was determined as 13.98 with 86% sensitivity and 85% specificity (AUC = 0.892, 95% CI = 0.741–0.993,
Kaplan–Meier cumulative survival curves showed that the risk of mortality was increased in patients with HEpEF and NPAR > 13.98 compared to patients with NPAR < 13.98 (log-rank test:
Multiple Cox’s regression analysis was conducted to determine the independent predictors of all-cause mortality in patients with HFpEF (
Among the 248 patients classified as diuretic-resistant, the frequency of each component criterion is summarized in
Discussion
In this study, it was aimed to demonstrate the association between diuretic-resistance and systemic inflammation in patients with HFpEF using NPAR. NPAR was found to be significantly higher in the group with diuretic-resistance. The findings suggest that the risk of developing diuretic-resistance increases in parallel with rising NPAR levels. Therefore, the authors conclude that heightened systemic inflammation may pave the way for the development of diuretic-resistance.
Beyond its relationship with diuretic resistance, the extended analysis revealed that elevatedNPAR independently predicted all-cause mortality in patients with HFpEF. Multiple Cox’s proportional hazard regression analysis modeling demonstrated that NPAR remained a strong and independent prognostic factor even after adjusting for age, comorbidities, NT-proBNP, hs-CRP, echocardiographic parameters (LAVI, E/e′, sPAP), and diuretic resistance status. This indicates that the systemic inflammatory burden quantified by NPAR not only contributes to treatment resistance but also carries mid-term prognostic significance. Importantly, NPAR values above the identified cut-off (13.98) were associated with almost a 2-fold increase in mortality risk, underscoring its clinical relevance in the risk stratification of HFpEF.
HFpEF accounts for more than half of all HF cases in individuals aged over 65 years.
Systemic inflammation plays an increasingly recognized role in the pathophysiology of both HFrEF and HFpEF. Neutrophils, one of the key cellular markers of inflammation, are associated with coronary artery disease, HF, and stroke. They contribute to myocardial injury through proteolytic enzymes such as elastase and myeloperoxidase.
Our results support this mechanistic link, demonstrating that higher hs-CRP and NT-proBNP levels, alongside elevated NPAR, were significant predictors of mortality. This finding aligns with previous evidence that inflammatory and neurohormonal activation synergistically contribute to disease progression and poor outcomes in HFpEF. The inclusion of echocardiographic parameters such as LAVI and E/e′ in the model further confirms that both structural and inflammatory factors interact to influence mid-term prognosis.
Diuretic-resistance in HFrEF is a multifactorial process that often reflects disease progression. Previous studies have shown that a high diuretic requirement due to diuretic-resistance is associated with increased mortality and sudden death in HFrEF patients.
While many causes can explain diuretic resistance in HFrEF patients, it has been reported that comorbid conditions play a role in HFpEF patients.
Many studies have shown an increased proinflammatory state in patients with HFpEF.
Proinflammatory cytokines (TNF-α, IL-1, IL-6) can impair renal microcirculation, reducing glomerular filtration, increasing vascular permeability, and triggering distal tubular sodium reabsorption. These processes weaken the natriuretic response and contribute to diuretic resistance.
Serum albumin (SA) has anti-inflammatory and antioxidant activity.
The neutrophil-to-albumin ratio has recently been defined as a new biomarker reflecting systemic inflammatory load.
In this context, the findings extend the existing evidence and confirm that NPAR not only reflects systemic inflammation but also independently predicts both diuretic resistance and mortality risk in HFpEF, consistent with previous data.
Clinical implementation of NPAR may aid in early identification of patients at high risk of poor outcomes, facilitating timely optimization of therapy and closer follow-up. Future large-scale prospective studies are warranted to validate NPAR as a prognostic biomarker and to explore whether interventions targeting systemic inflammation can improve outcomes in this patient population.
Study Limitations
This study has several limitations that should be acknowledged.
First, it was a single-center and retrospective study, which may limit the generalizability of the findings. Second, although the authors adjusted for multiple confounding variables, residual confounding cannot be fully excluded. Third, inflammatory markers such as interleukin-6, TNF-α, and other cytokines were not routinely measured, which may have limited the assessment of the complete inflammatory profile. Fourth, the mean follow-up duration was relatively short (8.3 ± 2.1 months), which may limit the assessment of true long-term outcomes and could lead to underestimation of late events. Therefore, the prognostic value of NPAR should be interpreted as reflecting mid-term risk and requires confirmation in multicenter studies with longer follow-up. Finally, the study design does not allow for establishing a causal relationship between elevated NPAR and adverse outcomes. Future multicenter, prospective studies with longer follow-up and a broader inflammatory marker panel are required to confirm these results.
Conclusion
In conclusion, elevated NPAR levels were significantly associated with both diuretic resistance and increased all-cause mortality in patients with HFpEF.
NPAR reflects the combined effect of systemic inflammation and nutritional status, providing an accessible and inexpensive biomarker for risk stratification.
The findings indicate that NPAR can serve as a valuable tool for identifying high-risk HFpEF patients and guiding early management strategies.
Further large-scale studies are needed to confirm its prognostic value and to explore potential therapeutic approaches targeting inflammation in this population.
Supplementary Materials
Footnotes
References
- van Riet EE, Hoes AW, Wagenaar KP, Limburg A, Landman MAJ, Rutten FH. Epidemiology of heart failure: the prevalence of heart failure and ventricular dysfunction in older adults over time. A systematic review. Eur J Heart Fail. 2016;18(3):242-252. https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ejhf.483
- Stolfo D, Lund LH, Benson L. Persistent high burden of heart failure across the ejection fraction spectrum in a nationwide setting. J Am Heart Assoc. 2022;11(22):-. https://dx.doi.org/10.1161/JAHA.122.026708
- McDonagh TA, Metra M, Adamo M. 2023 Focused update of the 2021 ESC guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure. Eur Heart J. 2023;44(37):3627-3639. https://dx.doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehad195
- Oren O, Goldberg S. Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: diagnosis and management. Am J Med. 2017;130(5):510-516. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.amjmed.2016.12.031
- Gorter TM, Hoendermis ES, van Veldhuisen DJ. Right ventricular dysfunction in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Eur J Heart Fail. 2016;18(12):1472-1487. https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ejhf.630
- Tsao CW, Lyass A, Enserro D. Temporal trends in the incidence of and mortality associated with heart failure with preserved and reduced ejection fraction. JACC Heart Fail. 2018;6(8):678-685. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jchf.2018.03.006
- Wu Y, Chen Y, Yang X, Chen L, Yang Y. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were associated with disease activity in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus. Int Immunopharmacol. 2016;36():94-99. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.intimp.2016.04.006
- Tamaki S, Nagai Y, Shutta R. Combination of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratios as a novel predictor of cardiac death in patients with acute decompensated heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction: A multicenter study. J Am Heart Assoc. 2023;12(1):-. https://dx.doi.org/10.1161/JAHA.122.026326
- Lin Y, Lin Y, Yue J, Zou Q. The Neutrophil percentage-to-albumin ratio is associated with all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with acute myocardial infarction. BMC Cardiovasc Disord. 2022;22(1):-. https://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12872-022-02559-z
- Yu Y, Liu Y, Ling X. The Neutrophil percentage-to-albumin ratio as a new predictor of all-cause mortality in patients with cardiogenic shock. BioMed Res Int. 2020;2020():-. https://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/7458451
- Sun T, Shen H, Guo Q. Association between neutrophil percentage-to-albumin ratio and all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with coronary artery disease. BioMed Res Int. 2020;2020():-. https://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/8137576
- Wu CC, Wu CH, Lee CH, Cheng CI. Association between neutrophil percentage-to-albumin ratio, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio and long-term mortality in community-dwelling adults with heart failure: NHANES 2005-2016. BMC Cardiovasc Disord. 2023;23(1):-. https://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12872-023-03316-6
- McDonagh TA, Metra M, Adamo M. 2021 ESC Guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure. Eur Heart J. 2021;42(36):3599-3726. https://dx.doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehab368
- Brinkley DM, Burpee LJ, Chaudhry SP. Spot urine sodium as triage for effective diuretic infusion in an ambulatory heart failure unit. J Card Fail. 2018;24(6):349-354. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cardfail.2018.01.009
- Duque ER, Briasoulis A, Alvarez PA. Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction in the elderly: pathophysiology, diagnostic and therapeutic approach. J Geriatr Cardiol. 2019;16(5):421-428. https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijms24108825
- Zhang Q, Chen YE, Zhu XX, Wang X, Qu AJ. The role of inflammation in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. Sheng Li Xue Bao. 2023;75(3):390-402.
- Feng Z, Du Y, Chen J. Comparison and characterization of phenotypic and genomic mutations induced by a carbon-ion beam and gamma-ray irradiation in soybean (Glycine max (L.) Merr.). Int J Mol Sci. 2023;24(10):8825-. https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijms24108825
- Alfaddagh A, Martin SS, Leucker TM. Inflammation and cardiovascular disease: from mechanisms to therapeutics. Am J Prev Cardiol. 2020;4():-. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ajpc.2020.100130
- Ma Y, Zhang J, Qi Y, Lu Y, Dong Y, Hu D. Neutrophil Extracellular Traps in Cardiovascular Diseases: Pathological Roles and Therapeutic Implications. Biomolecules. 2025;15(9):1263-. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ajpc.2020.100130
- Rizo-Téllez SA, Sekheri M, Filep JG. Myeloperoxidase: Regulation of Neutrophil Function and Target for Therapy. Antioxidants (Basel). 2022;11(11):2302-. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ajpc.2020.100130
- Mehta NN, deGoma E, Shapiro MD. IL-6 and Cardiovascular Risk: A Narrative Review. Curr Atheroscler Rep. 2024;27(1):12-. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ajpc.2020.100130
- Kurt B. Inflammatory biomarkers in heart failure: Clinical perspectives on hsCRP, IL-6 and emerging candidates. Curr Heart Fail Rep. 2025;22(1):35-.
- Neuberg GW, Miller AB, O’Connor CM. Diuretic resistance predicts mortality in patients with advanced heart failure. Am Heart J. 2002;144(1):31-38. https://dx.doi.org/10.1067/mhj.2002.123144
- Testani JM, Brisco MA, Turner JM. Loop diuretic efficiency: a metric of diuretic responsiveness with prognostic importance in acute decompensated heart failure. Circ Heart Fail. 2014;7(2):261-270. https://dx.doi.org/10.1161/CIRCHEARTFAILURE.113.000895
- Wilcox CS, Testani JM, Pitt B. Pathophysiology of diuretic resistance and its implications for the management of chronic heart failure. Hypertension. 2020;76(4):1045-1054. https://dx.doi.org/10.1161/HYPERTENSIONAHA.120.15205
- ter Maaten JM, Valente MA, Damman K, Hillege HL, Navis G, Voors AA. Diuretic response in acute heart failure: pathophysiology, evaluation, and therapy. Nat Rev Cardiol. 2015;12(3):184-192. https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nrcardio.2014.215
- Wang X, Zhang Y, Wang Y. The neutrophil percentage-to-albumin ratio is associated with all-cause mortality in patients with chronic heart failure. BMC Cardiovasc Disord. 2023;23(1):-. https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nrcardio.2014.215
- Kristjánsdóttir I, Thorvaldsen T, Lund LH. Congestion and diuretic resistance in acute or worsening heart failure. Card Fail Rev. 2020;6():-. https://dx.doi.org/10.15420/cfr.2019.18
- Paulus WJ, Tschöpe C. A novel paradigm for heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: comorbidities drive myocardial dysfunction and remodeling through coronary microvascular endothelial inflammation. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2013;62(4):263-271. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jacc.2013.02.092
- Jiang J, Miao P, Xin G. Prognostic value of albumin-based indices for mortality after heart failure: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Cardiovasc Disord. 2024;24(1):570-. https://dx.doi.org/10.1161/JAHA.123.030044
- Oliva‐Damaso N, Nuñez J, Soler MJ. Spot urinary sodium as a biomarker of diuretic response in acute heart failure. J Am Heart Assoc. 2023;12(17):-. https://dx.doi.org/10.1161/JAHA.123.030044
- Turinay Ertop ZŞ, Aslan AN, Neşelioğlu S, Durmaz T. Thiol/disulfide homeostasis: A new oxidative marker in heart failure patients with preserved ejection fraction. Anatol J Cardiol. 2024;28(8):406-412. https://dx.doi.org/10.14744/AnatolJCardiol.2024.4187
- Don BR, Kaysen G. Serum albumin: relationship to inflammation and nutrition. Semin Dial. 2004;17(6):432-437. https://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.0894-0959.2004.17603.x
- Ancion A, Allepaerts S, Oury C, Gori AS, Piérard LA, Lancellotti P. Serum albumin level and hospital mortality in acute non-ischemic heart failure. ESC Heart Fail. 2017;4(2):138-145. https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ehf2.12128
- Yan H, Chen J, Zha H, Pei L. Prognostic value of the neutrophil percentage-to-albumin ratio for all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality in individuals with coronary heart disease: A cohort study. Medicine (Baltimore). 2025;104(48):-. https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ehf2.12128