2Department of Cardiology, Shenzhen University General Hospital, Shenzhen, China
Abstract
Background: While both sarcopenia and obesity independently elevate cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk, their combined effects, known as sarcopenic obesity (SO), remain incompletely understood. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the association between SO and the risk of CVD and CVD-related mortality.
Methods: A comprehensive search of scientific databases was conducted from inception to May 2025, including observational studies assessing SO in relation to incident CVD or CVD mortality. Pooled odds ratios (ORs) with 95% CIs were calculated using random-effects models. Subgroup analyses examined variations by age, sex, geography, study design, and CVD subtypes, with P-values for interaction being assessed.
Results: Sixteen studies involving 578 408 participants were included. Sarcopenic obesity was significantly associated with a 95% higher CVD risk (OR = 1.95, P < .001, 95% CI: 1.62-2.36) and a 64% increased CVD mortality risk (OR = 1.64, P = .007, 95% CI: 1.15-2.34). Subgroup analyses revealed stronger associations in males and diabetic subgroups. The highest risks were observed for myocardial infarction (OR = 4.07, P = .015, 95% CI: 1.31-12.63) and atrial fibrillation (OR = 2.93, P < .001, 95% CI: 2.23-3.86). Significant interactions were detected by sex (P = .032) and cardiovascular outcome type (P = .001), but not by age, region, or study design.
Conclusion: Sarcopenic obesity is a high-risk phenotype associated with significantly elevated CVD incidence and mortality, with effect modification by sex and outcome type. These findings highlight the need for standardized diagnostic criteria and targeted interventions to mitigate cardiovascular risk in this growing population.
Highlights
- The study found that individuals with sarcopenic obesity had a 95% higher cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk than those without.
- Sarcopenic obesity was linked to a 64% higher risk of CVD-related mortality.
- The association was stronger in East Asian populations compared to Western populations.
- The association was stronger in diabetic patients compared to general patients.
- The highest CVD risk was related to myocardial infarction and atrial fibrillation.
Introduction
The global rise in both obesity and population aging has led to the emergence of a complex and clinically significant phenotype known as sarcopenic obesity (SO). Defined by the concurrent presence of excessive adiposity and reduced skeletal muscle mass and strength, SO represents a convergence of 2 detrimental conditions—sarcopenia and obesity—each independently associated with increased cardiometabolic and functional risk. The combination, however, appears to exert a synergistic effect, accelerating physiological decline and disease progression, particularly in older adults.1,
Aging is accompanied by significant changes in body composition, including an increase in fat mass—particularly visceral and ectopic fat—and a progressive decline in lean muscle mass and muscle function. These changes not only impair physical performance but also shift metabolic homeostasis towards insulin resistance, inflammation, and oxidative stress, key mechanisms implicated in cardiovascular disease (CVD).3 Meanwhile, obesity, especially when characterized by central fat distribution, contributes to an inflammatory milieu through adipokine dysregulation and endothelial dysfunction.4,
A growing body of evidence from large-scale observational studies and cohort analyses suggests that SO confers a markedly elevated risk for multiple cardiometabolic disorders. Individuals with this dual burden of excess adiposity and low muscle mass exhibit significantly higher odds of developing hypertension,9 dyslipidemia,10 type 2 diabetes,11 and major cardiovascular events such as myocardial infarction and heart failure,12 compared to those with normal body composition. The link between SO and CVD is believed to arise from a convergence of adiposity-driven inflammation and muscle-related metabolic impairment. This unfavorable interaction fosters a pro-inflammatory, insulin-resistant state that accelerates vascular dysfunction and elevates cardiometabolic risk.9,
As the aging population grows, SO is expected to become increasingly prevalent. Given its strong association with CVD morbidity and mortality, there is an urgent need for heightened clinical awareness and development of targeted interventions. Due to inconsistencies and heterogeneity in findings from prior research, this meta-analysis was conducted to determine whether SO is associated with an increased risk of CVD and all-cause mortality, compared to individuals without this condition.
Methods
Study Design and Selection Criteria
This systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted and reported in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) 2020 guidelines and structured according to the PECO framework. The population included adults aged 18 years and older from any demographic background. The exposure of interest was SO, defined as the co-occurrence of sarcopenia (characterized by reduced muscle mass and/or strength) and obesity, based on diagnostic criteria specified in each individual study (Supplementary Table 1). The Comparator group comprised individuals without SO with normal body composition. The outcomes were incident CVD (such as myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure, arrhythmias, etc.) and/or CVD mortality (if reported separately from all-cause mortality). We included observational studies (cohort, cross-sectional, and case-control designs) that investigated the association between SO and CVD or related mortality were included, and effect estimates (e.g., odds ratios [ORs], hazard ratios [HRs], or risk ratios [RRs]) with corresponding 95% CIs were reported, or sufficient data were provided to calculate them. Studies were excluded if they assessed the effects of sarcopenia or obesity alone without evaluating SO, if they focused on non-CVD outcomes (e.g., hypertension), lacked a proper definition of SO or CVD, or were case reports, case series, reviews, editorials without original data, or animal studies.
Search Strategy
A comprehensive literature search was conducted to identify relevant studies examining the association between SO and CVD. Four electronic databases—PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science—were searched from inception to May 10, 2025. The search strategy combined Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) and relevant keywords, including but not limited to: sarcopenic obesity, sarcopenia, obesity, CVD, myocardial infarction, stroke, and cardiovascular mortality (Supplementary Table 2). In addition, grey literature and reference lists of included articles and relevant reviews were manually screened to identify additional eligible studies. No geographical, time, and language restriction was applied.
Data Extraction and Quality Assessment
Two trained reviewers (Z.Z. and X.Z.) independently screened titles, abstracts, and full texts using a standardized eligibility form in an Excel spreadsheet. Disagreements were resolved by consensus. For each included study, the following data were extracted: author, year of publication, study duration, study location, design, sample size, numbero of participants in each group (normal, sarcopenia, obesity, SO), mean follow-up duration (in cohort studies), participant characteristics (sex and age), definition of SO, outcome definitions, effect measures (OR, RR, or HR), and adjustment variables.
The methodological quality of included studies was assessed using the Newcastle–Ottawa Scale (NOS) for cohort and cross-sectional studies. This tool evaluates selection, comparability, and outcome (or exposure) domains, with scores ranging from 0 to 9. Studies scoring ≥7 were considered high quality. The risk of bias was independently assessed by 2 reviewers, and discrepancies were resolved through discussion.
Statistical Analysis
The statistical analysis was performed following rigorous methodological standards to ensure robust and reproducible findings. All analyses were conducted using Stata version 18 (StataCorp, College Station, TX, USA), with statistical significance set at
Results
Study Selection and Characteristics
The PRISMA flow diagram illustrates the screening and selection process (Central Figure and
The 16 included studies (comprising 19 datasets) spanned 7 countries across East Asia (11 studies: China [6], South Korea [4], Japan [1]) and Europe/North America (5 studies: England [2], USA [1], Cyprus [1], and 1 multinational cohort from the UK Biobank). Geographically, 62.5% and 31.2% of studies were conducted in East Asia and Europe. Study designs varied: 8 prospective cohorts (50%) with follow-up periods ranging from 2.6 to 12 years
Results of Overall Meta-Analysis
As shown in
Results of Subgroup Meta-Analyses
Five studies provided stratified data on sex (Supplementary Table 4). The subgroup analysis based on sex indicated a significant association between SO and the risk of CVD in both males (OR = 2.56,
The subgroup analysis stratified by geographical region (Supplementary Table 4) revealed that studies performed in both categorized regions showed significant positive associations, although the effect sizes and heterogeneity patterns varied substantially. The pooled analysis of 5 studies from Europe and North America demonstrated a moderate but significant association between SO and CVD risk (OR = 1.56,
The subgroup analysis on different specific cardiovascular outcomes showed that the association between SO and CVD risk varies by outcome type (Supplementary Table 4). Four datasets examining general heart disease showed a modest but significant pooled association (OR = 1.21,
To further investigate potential sources of heterogeneity and examine the robustness of the primary findings,
Sensitivity and Cumulative Analysis
In sensitivity analysis (
Discussion
Our meta-analysis demonstrates a significant association between SO and increased risk of CVDs. Individuals with SO had nearly twice the odds of developing CVD compared to non-sarcopenic, non-obese counterparts. Moreover, the analysis of CVD-related mortality indicated a 64% increase in risk among individuals with SO, further emphasizing the adverse prognostic implications of this phenotype. Subgroup analyses provided additional insight into population-specific patterns. The association between SO and CVD remained statistically significant across sex, with pooled effect sizes slightly higher in males than females (Supplementary Table 4); importantly, the
The present meta-analysis is the first to comprehensively evaluate the association between SO and both CVD and CVD-related mortality. It revealed significantly increased odds of CVD and CVD-specific mortality. These results are in line with previous literature, though broader in scope, integrating various populations and cardiovascular endpoints. Among studies directly evaluating SO, Tian et al28 (2015) reported a 24% increased risk of all-cause mortality in SO individuals (HR = 1.24,
Sarcopenic obesity contributes significantly to cardiovascular risk through a convergence of metabolic, inflammatory, and hormonal dysfunctions. Visceral adiposity promotes a chronic low-grade inflammatory state characterized by elevated levels of tumor necrosis factor-alpha, interleukin-6 (IL-6), and C-reactive protein, which accelerate endothelial dysfunction and atherogenesis.7,
This meta-analysis is one of the most comprehensive to date evaluating the association between SO and CVD, and it offers several important strengths. First, it includes a large pooled sample derived from 16 studies (19 datasets), spanning more than 7 countries across East Asia, Europe, and North America, which enhances both the statistical power and the generalizability of the findings. The geographic diversity of included studies allowed for meaningful cross-regional comparisons, highlighting potential population-specific risk patterns. Second, the analysis incorporated multiple high-quality prospective cohort studies, some with long-term follow-up, along with well-conducted cross-sectional and retrospective cohorts. The majority of included studies utilized objective and validated tools to define SO—such as dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry or bioelectrical impedance analysis—and reported standardized cardiovascular outcomes including myocardial infarction, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and multimorbidity. Third, the extensive subgroup analyses conducted in this review—by sex, age, geographic region, study design, population characteristics, and specific cardiovascular outcomes—allowed for exploration of effect modifiers and revealed important variations in risk profiles. Fourth, sensitivity analyses and cumulative meta-analysis confirmed the robustness and temporal consistency of these findings, demonstrating that the overall results were not driven by any single study.
Despite its strengths, this meta-analysis has several limitations that warrant careful consideration. First, substantial heterogeneity was observed across the included studies (
In conclusion, this meta-analysis provides robust evidence that SO is significantly associated with increased risk of CVDs and CVD-related mortality. The strength and consistency of this association across diverse populations, study designs, and cardiovascular outcomes underscore the clinical importance of recognizing SO as a distinct and high-risk phenotype. Compared to sarcopenia or obesity alone, SO confers a substantially higher cardiovascular burden, likely due to the synergistic interplay between metabolic dysfunction, inflammation, and physical decline. Given the growing prevalence of SO in aging populations worldwide, early identification, risk stratification, and tailored interventions are urgently needed. Future studies should prioritize the use of standardized definitions, longitudinal designs, and mechanistic investigations to further elucidate the pathophysiological links between SO and cardiovascular health.
Supplementary Materials
Footnotes
References
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